[pyrrhotech]

It's a bit ironic that knowledge work will become obsolete before blue collar work. I disagree with the author that it will become completely obsolete in the next 20 years (although certainly in the next 200), but it will change significantly and there will be a massive downward pressure on knowledge worker compensation as the barriers to entry have been decimated. On the other hand, good luck getting your AI to unclog your sink, remodel your kitchen or fix your AC any time soon.

[viking123]

I mean if you think it a bit forward, if you really have a general system that can mostly obsolete all knowledge work, I don't think the leap to having some sorts of robots would be that many years away. These general agents could be taught to control the robots and perform different things, or they could even do that research by themselves. Also if most of knowledge work is gone, these people are either unemployed and have no money to spend basically or retrain to some blue collar roles which would push down wages if there is more supply of the workers. It's very hard to actually predict how it all will end up in that case