[lenkite]

The "cross-border islamist group destabilizing Syria" were spawned from Obama's "moderate rebels" who were extensively sponsored with weaponry to fight against Assad. They carried those American weapons into the invasion of Mosul because they kept failing against the battle-hardened Syrian armed forces and Iraq was a far softer target at the time.

Not sure this could have been predicted from the Iraq war though unless you are talking about the general prediction that any rebel group that the U.S. sponsors turns into a terrorist group that the U.S. bombs within a decade. Its kinda of funny when you compare news articles across years.