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by wizzwizz4 752 days ago
We'd expect zero evidence either way, until it happened, in a hard takeoff scenario (which is what I've mostly seen claimed).

There's evidence that LLMs won't scale to AGI (both theoretical limiting arguments, and now mounting evidence that those theoretical arguments are correct), so this point is moot, but still.

2 comments

> We'd expect zero evidence either way, until it happened

Why? The only null we have, the organic evolution of tool-building intelligence, was iterative.

link to the limiting arguments you’re referring to?