[avmich]

It looks at least very reasonable. It's rarely argued that Russia has a severe disadvantage in conventional armaments compared to the West, or even USA alone; even Russian sources periodically admit that openly. It's also rather clear at this point that the war is the war of attrition, so supplies basically determine the results. West doesn't even need to have particular political will - the robust supplies with armaments will do the trick without anything else. No particular sets of sanctions, no diplomatic masterpieces, no boots on the ground are needed - just enough of supplies to Ukrainian army.

This may be more problematic, though, than a combination of approaches. Which we see today. The combination, though, doesn't provide results particularly fast - it still is good, though, but not enough for reducing the war in time to some relatively short periods starting from now. Well, we're in the real world. It's not perfect.

[XajniN]

> It looks at least very reasonable.

Only if you don’t know much about Russia.

The outcome of the war depends almost solely on Russian willingness to fight. We are already two years into the two-week supply of Russian rockets.

Edit: formatting

[avmich]

I'm not sure it can be well argued I don't know much about Russia, so I'm staying the opinion. The Russian willingness to fight isn't that great and certainly way worse that the Ukrainians.

I also never heard of two-week supply of Russian rockets, though I heard economic collapse predictions which didn't materialize. But I also heard about Kiyev in three days plans.

Really, Russian military potential is greatly oversold.

[XajniN]

Not Russians, Russia. The people will never revolt against the government. Their military is corrupted and disorganized, but can be supplied with practically unlimited amounts of dumb weapons and soldiers. The only question is how far is their government willing to go.

And also, Putin should be considered as a moderate part of the government.

In other words, it’s amazing what you can accomplish when you don’t care about human lives.

Russia running out of missiles: https://www.google.com/search?q=rissia+running+out+of+missil...

[avmich]

All of that in practice won't really matter. Neither practically possible supplies of people nor weapons won't help Russian leadership.

[XajniN]

How do you imagine that? Applying common sense and values on Russians?