[belter]

Depending who will win the next US presidential elections, the scenarios you highlight can come sooner one would even imagine.

In Europe at the moment, there is only one real military power and that is France plus with a little help from the Nordics. The rest is almost non existent, and I am including the current German army. It's calculated they might currently be able to provide ammunition for maybe 15 days...

"The state of the Bundeswehr is more dismal than ever" - https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/01/26/the-state-of-the...

A US president hostile to NATO or compromised, would make for very concerning scenario's within months....

On other side, you have a country of 200 million, with a GDP that is almost 20% fully invested on weapons and ammunition production, currently fully on a path of war. Putin could get 2 million soldiers in 3 months in case of a general mobilization.

[avmich]

> On other side, you have a country of 200 million

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_and_dependen...

Which country are you talking about?

[belter]

Ok 146 million...I was off a little bit...

[xenospn]

3 million useless untrained unmotivated soldiers who are not good for much more than dying in droves.

[belter]

Unfortunately the current stalemate has transformed the war into something similar to World War I, and for this type of war those are the type cannon fodder you need to send in waves...

"White House Worries Russia’s Momentum Is Changing Trajectory of Ukraine War" - https://archive.is/DchiK