[ggm]

While it might be nice to speculate about a change in posture from the government of Iran, thats very unlikely to flow from this accident: the depth of staff inside the support groups behind the current government is too deep for a rapprochement to emerge, simply because the name on the door changes. There will be plenty of "obvious candidates" without reaching outside the tent for somebody e.g. who is less harsh about scarf culture, or the green movement.

They have the option. It's always possible they will seek to take it. I think given the extent to which trade with Russia and China is working for them, and the current conflict in the Gaza strip, it's the least likely choice.

Newspapers say the vice has 50 days before an elective process. Could be election amongst the elect or national election, I am unsure.

[xtracto]

Uuuh last I read the "president" of Iran is just a public figure. The real power lies in the Supreme Leader Ayatollah. So likely he will place another puppet as president and that'll be it.

[ggm]

Yes, it's understood this is not the primary position of power, but it's part of the circle of governance which includes roles as "stepping stones" and it's very likely this incumbent was being groomed for the next logical position up the chain. He has a vice, who is empowered (however meaninglessly) to step into the role in the interim.

I think you're saying the same thing as me more succinctly. It's unlikely to be a moment of change.

[kkfx]

Iran have a very complex government actually: https://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/local/cache-vignettes/L890... not much up to date but I think it still reflect current state of things, just with some different names.

[basch]

Supreme Leader is like Charmain of the Board.

President is like COO/CFO.