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by wongarsu 775 days ago
We still won't reach peak population until 2060 at the earliest, and more likely around 2100. [1] has a good graph by region on page 4, and a graph for world population near the end. Most regions haven't reached their population peak yet and subsaharan Africa is still growing strongly.

Of course a lot of this is just delayed by higher life expectancies. Aging populations will require major social reforms in our lifetime, and I don't think society is really prepared

1: https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.deve...

2 comments

I think you're looking at peak population, while they are talking about peak number of children. According to some reports, the number of children has already peaked[1]. The remaining growth is just momentum from past births.

[1] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-13/earths-population-rea...

You think they're doing the thing they explicitly stated they were doing?
People live for 80-100 years, so the population will gradually tick up. But once the very top-heavy global population pyramid begins to die off, things get extremely ugly, extremely quickly. In our lifetimes, we are going to see a horrific amount of elder poverty.