[sahila]

Sure and not to discredit your observation, but what other observations have you made in the last 5 years that didn’t pan out? Regarding politics, sports, stock market, covid, or other tech trends? The evaluation can’t be looking back, and if you’re right about 1/10 things, would that warrant a $1b investment in each?

[VelesDude]

This should be the perfect forum to ask this question considering the whole mission of Y combinator.

[daseiner1]

Parent comment doesn’t claim to have predicted the rise of smartphones.

If you truly had a bankable 10% success rate, $1B on each spin would be a steal.