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by anonzzzies 773 days ago
Sure, it might also figure out energy before longevity or neither of them. I think what we are looking for is the vague ‘AGI’ goal and that, by its (vague) definition , is capable of finding multiple solutions to many problems.
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If solutions exist and if those solutions don't create other problems.

What's the solution to conflicts like in the Middle East or Ukraine?

Solutions clearly exist for managing diseases (we keep finding ways to give years to cancers that were an instant death sentence just 15-20 years ago); I have no clue if they exist for making us 180 in good health; I am not that smart.

And space flight is also solvable if energy is solvable and that also seems possible, but again, I am not smart enough otherwise I would be in that business.

Human conflict is solvable in a simple way; just eradicate us all. That solves all but longevity anyway for some definition of solve. But seriously speaking; if a human had a solution for these conflicts, they wouldn’t be there so either a solution without peril to humans is not there or we are too dumb to come up with one and need a 400 point iq increase to do so. I am not saying AI will ever do it but so far it seems to be the our only hope. Then again, it’s only been a few 1000 years of modern human so we might figure it out without finding AGI.

Anyway, currently this is more ‘religion’ (aka hope) than science on my side; there is no clear sign agi or super intelligence will happen soon; I am now more deadly afraid of ‘intelligence-ish simulators’ (LLMs) used everywhere to replace people and making everything vastly worse for almost everyone. Which is what’s happening at the moment.

Cancer doesn't kill instant, and after we found a cure for one disease another one rises. Just look at Candida auris
Candida auris is a really bad example, given it predominantly affects people with weakened immune systems.

To make that point better, you could've gone for COVID-19, what with the number being the year it popped into existence.

But if you had, then the point would be: yes, the world is dynamic, that means our world needs to continue developing new things, not that we can't get eternal youth.

Yeah sure, by instant I meant ‘get your affairs in order’ type of message from the oncologist after detection. Aka an instant death sentence. For some kinds of cancer where you got that in the 90s, now you have a good chance of walking out cancer free. Like a familiar cancer gene my family has: agressive, nasty, death sentence after detection in the 90s. Now multiple family members have been treated in the last few years and walked out cancer free. That was incredibly rare 25 years ago even with early detection; now it happens even in later stages. If it comes back they are dead but still; every few years added might result in yet another bump.

But sure others pop up, not sure if we ever can stop that; this is where AI could help; tireless and very fast moving wack-a-mole with diseases, new and old.