[conover]

You don’t usually hear the notion that Iran has a winning strategy. Rather than downvoting, I’m going to say that your comment lacks credibility.

[thoughtstheseus]

I don’t usually hear credible and thoughtful discussion on this topic…

Fiona Hill’s 2023 Lennart Meri Lecture describes this well.

Here’s a link:

https://lmc.icds.ee/agenda/lennart-meri-lecture-7