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by orlp 778 days ago
And if you assume that death rate is age agnostic between 15 and 60 (it's not of course, but bear with me), then this allows you to calculate the yearly chance of death as a US male adult as 1 - ((1000 - 163) / 1000)^(1/(60 - 15 + 1)). This comes to 0.386%, or ~1 in 259.