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by sqeaky 784 days ago
When polls like these are run the numbers don't always wind up tilted in the favor of the bigger number. I wish I could provide a specific source but I've been listening to the 538 podcast for years and I know they've covered exactly this topic.

Your inability to believe a thing doesn't prevent it from being true.

I would grab a D20 and on a 16 or less I would say left otherwise I would say right. Some people would pick right just because they can. I imagine most people would pick left because it's the 80%. I imagine plenty of people would double and triple guess and waffle then say something.

Few people, even the dumbest among us, are easily modelable deterministic automata.