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by causal 784 days ago
Yeah I think the word probabilistic has been broadly misconstrued, because we usually see it in contexts where probabilities are used as shortcuts to avoid comprehensive analysis. But a probability can also be the output of a detailed analysis with rich semantic representation of causes.
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I mean, that's exactly what LLMs are. In the absence of any real understanding of cognition, we are just throwing shit at the wall and seeing what the probabilistic model does with the massive amount of data we give it. A definitive analysis, were one even possible with our current models of computing, would probably outperform an LLM.