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by dools
780 days ago
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Yeah but tech has 3 stages: 1) Make it work
2) Make it good
3) Make it scale If this thing works, then probably it's in the process of being made good, and then it can enter the third phase. It'll be implantable in 50 - 100 years if it works at all now. |
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We had the first artificial hearts 60 years ago, and were convinced they were a decade away from mass adoption then.
As another commenter posted, the human body is complicated.
We now take knowledge for granted that we didn't even know we didn't know when I started working on these things.
In order to solve the problem we have to just build hardware and put in in people, see how it goes and then iterate on it. This cycle takes years because it takes 2-10 years to get each device through design, regulatory, release. Sometimes once we get deep into it we realize that what we set out to do isn't even possible for reasons we didn't even know when we started. It's like you are having to make up new Greek letters for all the factors in the new equations you discover. It's hard to predict.
Source - I've designed many medical devices including several blood pumps and LVADs.