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by rdm_blackhole
782 days ago
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I think the main reasons of the strong USD are:
- it's status as world reserve currency
- it's seen as a safe heaven
- The US is still the most profitable market to launch new product
- the US job market is still performing well compared to the battered economies of Europe where unemployment is starting to go back up If the ECB decides to lower interest rates before the US Fed does, then even more capital will flow in the US because why would you accept a lower interest rate when you can get a better one in the US in the same asset class. That in turn will keep making the USD stronger than the euro. |
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When you compare dividends+buybacks from UK/French/German companies to US companies, expected returns over 10years, and stock price, excluding "growth" companies (Tesla, netflix, Uber), you can see a 10 to 20% premium. Is it stability priced in?