Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by ivnvrn 792 days ago
Disclaimer: I'm russian and I live in Russia.

As far as I see, russian government quickly realized after the first failures, that this is going to be the war of attrition. So it made actions to save economy in a usual way as much as possible despite of sanctions. And it spends on army much less that it can can be in the case of a full-scale mobilization. Because if you totally mobilized the economy, you have only a certain amount of time to win. Otherwise the fatigue in people's heads may lead to a coup. The reasoning I think was "We have more people than Ukraine, we produce every kind of modern weapons ourselves and our economy is much more self-sufficient than Ukraine, so let's increase our arms production step by step, make constant pressing and wait while ukrainian centrifugal forces will became so strong that will break Ukraine apart". Sure, almost one in two hundred russians is on the front line. But otherwise there is no real change in today's people lives despite the inflation that increased to double-digit numbers. But it is still times lesser than in neighbour countries like Turkey, where is no war at all.

For example there is currently a housing construction boom in Russia due to special government mortgage programs for families with two kids, it-professionals or just rural citizens. All of them are two or three times less than central bank rate. And because the west mostly blocked its export to Russia, there is a one in a hundred years opportunity for domestic businesses that otherwise cannot compete with international corporations.

Obviously I'm biased, because I am the one of those programmers with 5% mortgage despite 16% inflation, but I can answer specific questions if you want to see it from my eyes.