[lapcat]

> The world does not want for lack of Political Science graduates.

I don't know about that. I think our electorate could use a lot more political science education. In any case, your statement takes for granted the student loan system. Would the world want for lack of polisci graduates if there were no student loans?

> It's pretty high on the list of "I have no idea what to study but I need a degree" choices, as evidenced by me gravitating toward it after successively eliminating basically everything else

That's just your personal anecdote. My personal ancedote is that I also got a degree in political science, and it was because I was genuinely interested in political science.

> It is objectively a "dumb" thing to do to bank that you'll be one of the minority who gets a job and you'll survive the grind long enough to make a decent living.

I would say objectively "risky" rather than dumb. It does pay off for some. Would you say the "winners" were dumb? Would you say that professional athletes who are now fabulously wealthy are dumb because it's "dumb" to pursue a career where most people fail?

[randomdata]

> Would you say that professional athletes who are now fabulously wealthy are dumb because it's "dumb" to pursue a career where most people fail?

Yes, anyone who compromises their future on the slim chance of winning the lottery is reasonably considered "dumb".

For the most part, athletes don't have to compromise their future, though. Professional sport networks tend to be good to make sure participants have reasonable backup plans and once someone is identified as having likelihood of making "the big leagues" will be supported financially to a smaller degree while they see if they can make the transition. There is an opportunity cost on those who don't make it, to be sure, but not being as well off as you had hoped you'd be isn't the same as crumbling under crushing debt for the rest of your life.

Maybe it is not perfect in every circumstance, but generally there is an effort to protect athlete hopefuls from running their lives exactly to protect those who are "dumb". Colleges, on the other hand, couldn't care less – "Just give me the money!"

[pc86]

Risky is a fine word to use too, and probably less judgmental. I would say the winners did a risky thing and it paid off, which happens all the time. I never said the people who did it are dumb I said it's a dumb thing to do which are two very, very different statements. It's also very risky to bet it all on being able to get into the NBA or NFL. That doesn't mean it doesn't pay off for some people, some of whom probably had dozens of other people telling them not to do it, they'll never make it, etc. That doesn't make the choice any smarter objectively though, except in hindsight.