[hackerlight]

Of course, but that doesn't deal with the cause of nuclear proliferation, which is the anarchy of a multi-polar security situation.

In the extreme case of NATO breaking up, you should expect most central European countries will get nukes to deter Russia.

If US becomes more uncertain as a security backstop, Japan, Philippines and Vietnam will seek nukes because they have no choice if they wish to be assured security against China.

Small countries are observing Western appeasement and the US political right's betrayal of Ukraine and wondering if it'll happen to them. Remember the assurances Clinton gave them if they renounced nukes? Words and signed paper count for little.