[lxgr]

That's a good way to put it.

That said, I do think that LLMs, while not the "final form of AI" by any means, are already somewhat of a revolution in human-machine interfaces. Being able to look up facts (or make up convincing lies) is neat, but to me, their real power lies in how good they are in summarizing and translating.

Remember when Siri and Google Assistant were having a very hard time understanding even the simplest commands if they weren't formulated in the exact way they understood, and the "aboutness" problem seemed unsurmountable without AGI?

Now we're suddenly way past that (without any AGI). Even if AI completely plateaus out with LLMs at their present-day strength, I think we could spend years, if not decades, of getting good at meaningfully integrating them into previously very manual workflows. Even an "AI winter" of that shape feels significantly more disruptive than many of the more optimistic crypto scenarios.