[extheat]

The industry (OpenAI, DeepMind, et al) are not seriously working on generate AI. Thats a phase. They are working on AGI. AGI definitionally includes all human cognitive capabilities and that includes vehicular operation and real world interaction (in form of embodied robots). It is likely possible that even self driving cars can be done safely without needing AGI with sufficient scale, and I don’t think it’s that far off from happening.

[epistasis]

There are those who are working on AGI, who say they do not know when or if it will show up. Those who do think AGI will appear (if you can get them to define it) think it will come from a gradual increase in capability , just exactly the same way current advances have happened.

Then there are those who are using existing generative AI to book revenue today. This includes OpenAI, and other generative AI providers, but it also includes companies like Accenture, which booked $600M in AI consulting last quarter and expects it to continue growing. There's GitHub co-pilot, which is booking revenue.