[throwawaymaths]

it's also sucky because we're in a rightfully very negative EV environment. Fisker Ocean sucks, Cybertruck is good? but rusting?, nobody buys the Lucid, Rivians are great but lose ~80k USD per unit for Rivian, BYD and Evergrande EV cars are filling up junkyards in china...

Canoo is one of a few EV companies that on paper should make it. They have an order book that takes them to profitability. They have alpha vehicles that work (aka the product is not science fiction). Since they're selling these primarily as fleet vehicles, it's pretty valid to believe that the typical consumer EV concerns (range anxiety, nonfunctional/overbooked chargers, I live in an apartment, etc) should apply, their customers have the capital to spend, and can even easily calculate depreciation and expected benefit over existing fleet inventory.

100% of the risk in the company is manufacturing risk + not fucking up the finances e.g. by going too far into debt where the product payout doesn't make sense. That's a pretty nice place to be for being an EV company in the market now.

[hakfoo]

I actually took a punt on them this week (280 shares), mostly because they're selling something so different from the rest of the market.

It seems like the mainstream American EV manufacturers are very blinkered-- bigger, heavier, longer range, more luxury. Those products might appeal to buyers in the US, Canada, maybe Australia, but for the rest of the world, you're going to have to compete with manufacturers like BYD.

I could see the Canoo product selling in a lot of markets that you'd never sell a Lucid Air or Rivian R1T in. Once they've got a stable base on fleet orders, I could see them acquiring a quirky street cred among consumers-- sort of like Volkswagens of the '60s and '70s.