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by smcin 816 days ago
Without a copy of the book, I don't remember which parts were based on Kahneman’s own work, and I don't see that we can/should just skip the other chapters.

R-index guys said [0]: "Table 1 shows the number of results that were available and the R-Index for chapters that mentioned empirical results."

Chapters where estimated R-index < 50: Ch 3,4,6,7,11,14,16

Chapters where estimated R-index > 50: Ch 5,8,9,12,17,24

Chapters that don't cite empirical results (by Kahneman, or who?): 1,2,10,13,15,18-23, all of 25-38

As to the chapters that had empirical results, and had an estimated R-index > 50: scores of 55, 57, 60, 62 are really scraping by; saying that means they "probably replicate" is setting the bar really low, even quoting Tversky and Kahneman (1971) back at themselves. (The R-index guys say "Even some of the studies with a high R-Index seem questionable with the hindsight of 2020.")

As to whether he was the one-eyed king of the replication crisis, he certainly started speaking out in 2012 [3] after the social priming scandal broke; did insiders have suspicions about non-replicability before that and should people have pushed back more, earlier? The fallout from the Francesca Gino and Ariely scandals continues.

[0]: https://i0.wp.com/replicationindex.com/wp-content/uploads/20...

[1]: Chapter listing: https://catalog.lib.uchicago.edu/vufind/Record/8467452/TOC

[2]: Chapter summaries by Conor Dewey: https://www.conordewey.com/blog/every-chapter-of-thinking-fa...

[3]: Nature (2012) https://www.nature.com/articles/nature.2012.11535