[iamgilesbowkett]

"Facebook is passe because 1) it's got too many ads 2) everyone's parents are on it.

It's possible that this is just the lifecycle of social networks - they gradually get infiltrated by money and adults, and the young people move on, causing the network to stagnate and die."

I've considered Facebook a nightclub for a long time, but somebody (I think Mark Susser) said that the difference was timing, and Myspace and Friendster were simply too early. That made me pause to think, and I have to admit there may be something to it.

So my opinion these days is that there's a small chance he'll turn out to be right, and a much stronger chance that these things are nightclubs - "nobody goes there because it's too crowded" is the beginning of the end for them, and it hits all of them sooner or later.

[bunderbunder]

To Susser(?)'s comment: Perhaps, but on the other hand people were saying the same thing about AOL vs. Prodigy and CompuServe.