[quantified]

It's simple, and mentioned more than once in the article:

> “Nothing terrifies a sitting American president more than a surge in pump prices during an election year,” said Bob McNally, president of consultancy Rapidan Energy and a former White House energy adviser

[Arnt]

That part is simple. The interaction of the parts is what's complicated.

For example, consider what policy led to that pressure on Ukraine and this on UAE and Austria: https://www.wsj.com/finance/banking/russias-backdoor-to-the-... (https://archive.is/QbHZf).