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by syrgian
814 days ago
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I am not hopeful at all that it will go that way. Instead, I expect those buildings to invest in having the fastest, most stable internet connection with added redundancy and everything will be fully centralized in datacenters. |
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EDIT: the 10-year is just a random number.
And while these chips will obviously eventually be obsoleted as far as their cutting-edge - that doesnt remove the usefulness of such a chip for as long it can logic electrons.
So even by any future standard - as few of these thrown in more a consumer space will be adding of value for a long time, one would think. I'd be really interested in knowing about fab re-tooling.
I recall one night at Intel in 1997 or so - I stepped onto the balcony to have a smoke at about 1am.
There was another guy there who was in finance and we had a similar smoke schedule - and we would chat. He was lamenting about the difficulty in his work was to re-work a lot of DB schemas because some of the numbers he had to entire as far as finances, were too large for the fields.
I never forgot that - or a common trope that was thrown around intel at the time - I was in my early 20s and was focused on video games when at Intel - so I didnt get to follow along with this: "Its cheaper to just build a new fab than to retool one for the next iteration of processor"
-- so I wonder just how much ancillary waste happens these days with each new chip iteration/evolution. Meaning - all the amounts of resources that went into the fab to make such a chip - and where these wind up in their lifecycle.
The newest machines to make the ultra EUV chips are ~$380 million a piece (which is nothing these days on a scale - but on a unit basis, thats a Fton.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/23/inside-asml-the-company-adva...
https://i.imgur.com/say0bnv.png