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by crote 819 days ago
How much air freight really needs to be transferred by air, though?

Air freight makes sense when you need to get something across an ocean in less than a month, or across the continent in less than a day. If the US were to invest in running the railroads efficiently, getting a package from NYC to LA in less than 72 hours should be possible - that's fast enough for regular Amazon shipping. If you electrify the railroads you could avoid an awful lot of CO2 emissions.

There are currently already container trains running from China to Europe (or at least there used to, before Russia started a war). It's a viable midpoint between ocean freight and air freight.

4 comments

> If the US were to invest in running the railroads efficiently, getting a package from NYC to LA in less than 72 hours should be possible

Still need air for every other pair of destinations. And in the meantime, I’d be shocked if that freight leg had enough volume to justify that expense over a couple more planes.

I think freight trains in Europe are much faster than in the US, but also much shorter (though there are plans to make them a little longer) and lighter (no double-stacked containers). So they are more costly but you get stuff from A to B faster.

Electrified locomotives are better than diesel electric (e.g. an electric locomotive has 2x - 3x the power, ~6MW-9MW compared to ~3MW, so you need less locomotives, less moving parts means less maintenance etc.), but while it works in dense Europe, it's too costly to build and maintain cross US.

it's probably too expensive for some of the country (mainly the great plains etc), but on the west coast and east of the Mississippi there's definitely the density to support it.
US freight rail companies have already invested heavily in efficiency and are now pretty much the most efficient in the world. What you seem to be asking for is a reduction in latency. You can't have both high efficiency and low latency: those metrics are in direct conflict with each other.

Trucks with team driving can already run coast to coast in about 3 days. This works fine for somewhat time sensitive loads.

72 hours is too long. You need 48 hours or less for e-commerce or you’ll lose business to Amazon. You could go multiple warehouses but that’s a huge expense with splitting inventory especially if you have lots of low volume skus.