[lawn]

> It's interesting, how an expert in a field can be unaware of how AI is taking over.

I think the interesting thing is how an expert in a field is wholly unprepared for predicting how the future will develop.

You mention what Musk has said about FSD and how it will completely take over in just ten years, but I feel compelled to point out that Musk has said that it's just right around the corner with only small challenges left, for many years.

I wouldn't place any faith in anything Musk says.

[nemothekid]

Musk wasn't wrong - he just wasn't the person to deliver it. Waymo, AFAICT works astonishingly in San Francisco. I think you can argue that it might not work in the snow, but that's pretty much it

[Veserv]

Musk was wrong. He said specifically and unequivocally that Tesla would be delivering fully autonomous vehicles to customers within a year, every year for the last 8 years.

Just to get ahead of anybody claiming it was not a firm promise, in 2019: “ I think we will be feature-complete full self-driving this year, meaning the car will be able to find you in a parking lot, pick you up, take you all the way to your destination without an intervention — this year. I would say that I am certain of that. That is not a question mark." [1]

See that part where he says: “I would say that I am certain of that. That is not a question mark.” That is called a firm promise.

[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-doubles-down-on-cl...

[lawn]

If Musk was right we would've been there almost a decade ago.

And we're still not really there yet. They work great during some conditions and in certain areas, but they're still nowhere close to making human drivers obsolete.