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by frankbreetz
814 days ago
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I have always heard you should have 10x your salary (starting salary or ending salary, I am not sure). This makes the average retirement "426,000 for those aged 65 to 74" seem less bleak, but the median(164,000) makes it sound pretty bad. There is so much conflicting advice on this topic. It makes it difficult to plan. Are we getting Social Security? Will it be reduced? Is the safe withdraw rate of 4% a safe assumption? The article uses 7% for rate of return, is this inflation adjusted? Do These calculators make assumptions, like your house will be paid off, or you have reduction in spending from kids moving out? I am assuming if you pay SS tax and put 15% of you income into the S&P for 30 years, you should be able to retire at 65. Hopefully it works out! |
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Even among experts there is not going to be a complete agreement on what is the best strategy, but there is broad agreement on some key points. I will briefly mention the two most important ones in my opinion.
First, realize that since investments compound, the (random) returns you get for the first few years of your retirement will have a disproportionate effect on whether you will have enough long-term. This is called the sequence of returns risk, and there are some things you can do to reduce that risk somewhat.
Second, and as a consequence of the (random) variability of the value of your investments over time, it is very beneficial to be able and willing to cut down on your expenses when your investments have lost value, particularly if it happens during those crucial first years.
Lastly, consider the possibility of purchasing an annuity. It provides you with some insurance in the event that you live longer than you expected.