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by throwuwu 818 days ago
What makes you so sure that problem solving and invention aren’t just engineering challenges that we can solve by combining LLMs with well designed algorithms? The way I see it, we’ve just discovered something fundamental like steam power or electricity and we’re currently in the very inefficient stage of brute force solutions like mine pumps driven by condensing engines that needed tonnes of cheap readily available coal and arc lamps running off an entire room full of galvanic piles. In other words, we’re just throwing shit at the wall and seeing what sticks; but stick it will and then we’ll quickly be on to locomotives and lightbulbs.
1 comments

You guys buy too much into the marketable fuzz. In the last 15 years we've had multiple other technologies that were supposed to change the way we live (3D printing, Crypto, VR, EV, self-driving, now AI).

It's just the VC scheme: Over-promise/under-deliver = Profit

AI is and will continue to be a search on steroids.

You're buying into too much market fuzz too. That internet thing going big never happened and cell phones turned out to be bust, all that hype for nothing..... See how cherry picking works.

Also, EVs are a bust, wut?

Not saying they are a bust, either of them. Just to scale down expectations because AI, even the generative type won't be coming up with novel solutions.

EV aren't a bust either, but case in point... manufacturers are already anouncing scale downs because expectations were too high. Combustion will stay around for quite a bit given the battery production constraints.

Rome wasn’t built in a day, all of those technologies will still be around 20 years from now and will likely be powering a lot of everyday stuff. Short timelines are hype, the technology itself is anything but.