[yaj54]

Based on your data your ideas have 1/10 odds of $1539 revenue and each idea takes on average 5.3 months to execute.

You can:

- Spend the next 5.3 months on a new idea. The expected value of this is $153.9 in 5.3 months.

- Spend the next 5.3 months doing your existing telegram strategy. The expected value of this is $4078.35 in 5.3 months.

This assumes your existing telegram strategy is reproducible. If it is - then double, triple, quadruple down on that. It's working, get after it. New channels are like new ideas, you may need to try 9 of them before you find one that also works.

If your existing strategy is not reproducible (I.e., in addition to the new channels not working your existing channel is also drying up) then I'd take a hard look at why.

And since this is HN: https://paulgraham.com/ds.html