|
|
|
|
|
by FeepingCreature
834 days ago
|
|
The world we live in is the result of a gray goo scenario causing a global genocide. (Google Oxygen Holocaust.) So it kinda makes a poor argument that sudden global ecosystem collapses are impossible. That said, everything we have in natural biotech, while advanced, are incremental improvements on the initial chemical replicators that arose in a hydrothermal vent billions of years ago. Evolution has massive path dependence; if there was a better way to build a cell from the ground up, but it required one too many incremental steps that were individually nonviable, evolution would never find it. (Example: 3.7 billion years of evolution, and zero animals with a wheel-and-axle!) So the biosphere we have isn't very strong evidence that there isn't an invasive species of non-DNA-based replicators waiting in our future. That said, if I was an ASI and I wanted to kill every human, I wouldn't make nanotech, I'd mod a new Covid strain that waits a few months and then synthesizes botox. Humans are not safe in the presence of a sufficiently smart adversary. (As with playing against Magnus Carlsen, you don't know how you lose, but you know that you will.) |
|
Anyway, the Oxygen Holocaust took over 300,000,000 years. Not quite "sudden".