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by fmx 834 days ago
> since launching Grizzly Bulls (https://grizzlybulls.com) in January 2022, 6 of our 7 models have outperformed the market on an unleveraged basis:

> VIX-TA-Macro Advanced: +34.38%

I'm not sure how to reconcile that with the numbers shown on https://grizzlybulls.com/models/vix-ta-macro-advanced

When 2022 is selected as the starting year, it shows an increase from 16,911,242 to 17,881,510 which is an increase of 5.7% in 26 months.

1 comments

ah, sorry for the confusion. That's because the last 20 trades are excluded from the table/chart if you don't have the appropriate access level to view, in this case a Gold membership. That means when you are looking at the chart / table with starting year 2022 you are only seeing the trades up to 3/24/2023 instead of the present.
Right, I didn't notice the end date, sorry. So that was ~5.7% return for ~15 months (not 26) and the remaining ~28.7% was in the last 11 months.
Exactly, but if you compare to the market, even though 5.7% absolute returns is a poor 15 month performance, much of the model's relative outperformance came from those 15 months where at the same point, the SPX was still highly negative