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by Barrin92 845 days ago
The stock market in America just seems to have the same function as the property market in China, it's the primary thing everyone dumps their wealth in. If one looks at stock market capitalization versus real economic output the ratio keeps creeping up. So either there's some miracle returns in the future or it's just more and more divorced from the fundamentals.
2 comments

Based on a quick Google search, looks like US stock market cap is about $50 trillion [1] and real estate is $120 trillion. [2]

(There's going to be overlap since businesses own real estate.)

[1] https://siblisresearch.com/data/us-stock-market-value/ [2] https://www.statista.com/outlook/fmo/real-estate/united-stat...

Okay but what's the argument in relationship to my post? As the article notes China's property market is larger despite a stock market cap of 10tn, similar in Japan real estate value is about 5x larger than Japan's stock market cap.

That was the point, in the US stock market capitalization is unusually high compared both to other sectors and the economy at large.

It's plausible to me that the US stock market plays a larger role than in other countries. But you said it's the "primary thing everyone dumps their wealth into," which is a stronger, more surprising claim, and I wanted to see if it was true. Houses still seem to be people's biggest assets?
Sooo, back to gold then?
Opposite, China needs to get off land and that will allow them fiat to make up as much money as they want. Their big problem is that the workers aren't making enough money to keep the system running because it is all grifted by the state. Look at South Africa for what can happen when wealth isn't shared and the people can't support the economy because they are all too poor.