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by d--b 849 days ago
Well that's your view, but we keep seeing incredible progress year on year.

Noone thought beating the game of Go was feasible.

Noone thought self-driving cars would actually work.

Noone predicted ChatGPT. See where we're at now with multi modal models.

And Sora.

The truth is that you can't predict anything anymore about this tech cause all expectations keep being blown away.

AGI may be right there, and that's what's driving the money.

3 comments

> Noone thought self-driving cars would actually work.

Many people thought self driving WOULD work and that we'd be further along than we are now. We have vastly overestimated how far we'd be, and vastly underestimated how much time and effort it would actually take.

Self driving cars as they exist today are still mere toys compared to where the industry thought they were going to be. Look at Cruise, Waymo, Zoox, Uber's ex-self driving car division and others.

We are not anywhere near the self-driving autonomous cars we had hoped for.

> Noone thought beating the game of Go was feasible.

Oh, yes, we did, once we beat chess. It was just a matter of time.

> Noone thought self-driving cars would actually work.

And... they don't? Call me when I can buy a regular car where I can sleep while traveling 8 hours, driven by the car itself. We're probably "flying cars" away from that.

This doesn’t make any sense. If nobody thought the things were possible then why did they bother trying to do them?

And even spend as much time and resources as they did trying to do them?