[habinero]

No, you're solving the wrong thing. This is a thought experiment, not a real life scenario with ambiguity.

In this thought experiment, MH will always open a door to a goat on purpose and always ask if you want to switch, because the entire point of the thought experiment is that people find the 2/3 odds if you switch unintuitive and baffling, leading to extremely long thread chains.

You're doing the equivalent of saying "why can't we wait and see if the cat meows" when talking about the Schrödinger's thought experiment. It can't because that's not the point of the exercise.

[jncfhnb]

With all due respect, no. Please don’t jump in at the end of a long thread and bring it back to the beginning. We are not discussing “The Monty Hall Problem”. We are discussing the specifics of the actual original prompt with its failure to document all assumptions.