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by LegibleCrimson 851 days ago
I'm covering the problem statement. I'm ignoring the cases where Monty revealed a car because it didn't happen. You can't chalk it up as a win or a loss, because it didn't happen.

It's always "You choose a door, the host reveals a goat behind another door. Do you switch?" The scenario does not include him revealing the car.

If he intentionally chooses a goat, switching gets the car 2 times out of 3.

If he chose randomly and just happened to choose a goat, switching doesn't matter. It's 50/50.

Of course, these aren't the only scenarios. As others have mentioned, if Monty can decide whether to reveal what's behind a door, he can act maliciously and only reveal a goat if you've already selected a car, and switching will always make you lose. Without knowing these constraints, a single answer isn't knowable, as you mentioned before.

1 comments

Yes you’re correct. You’re just the first person I’ve ever seen cover the true random Monty variety who doesn’t force the situation where he shows a car in as a win or loss.