Is anybody else getting seriously depressed at the rate of advancement of AI? Why do we believe for a second that we’re actually going to be on the receiving end of any of this innovation?
I think the impact of AI will be too pervasive and complex to be understood in terms of a simple winners/losers dichotomy. My prediction is this:
Software developers and lawyers will probably have significantly lower incomes, and so to some extent, we'll lose status relative to everyone else. But software and legal work will become cheap as hell. This ought to reduce prices generally on just about everything. Even housing prices should go down, as the median worker will be making less money. Governments will probably try to counteract the ensuing deflation with massive stimulus programs. Optimistically, this could culminate in new UBI programs. A happy outcome is not by any means guaranteed, but seems likely in the long term.
I spoke to someone recently who believes poor people will be gradually killed off as the elites who control the robots won't have any use for them (the people). I don't share such an extreme view (yet), but I can't quite rule it out either.
You don’t need guns to kill a class of people. Just low/no opportunities, drastically reduced income, etc will make the problem take care of itself: the class you’re targeting this way will slowly stop having/keeping children, live shorter lives, and fade away.
Not saying this is what’s happening though, I don’t think it was ever great to be poor or have low opportunities, or that it’s more lethal now than it ever was.
> drastically reduced income, etc will make the problem take care of itself: the class you’re targeting this way will slowly stop having/keeping children
This seems to be opposite of reality though. The poorer you are the more children you are likely to have. Both in the US and globally.
There's enough advancement in the low end area that I'm not worried about that particular side. I mean, you can deploy mixtral on a single, common laptop (yes, an expensive one, but still). On the other side - who's actually going to be using that AI? It's not like some rich person can say "make me an app that does ..." - that will still involve lots of manual work for a very long time.
If you mean beyond anyone’s imagination a way to push narrative propaganda ideology advertising sales BS… yea. I’m far less worried about my kids being bullied than I am being manipulated to a degree we just can’t imagine - and it’s bad now without AI.
Software developers and lawyers will probably have significantly lower incomes, and so to some extent, we'll lose status relative to everyone else. But software and legal work will become cheap as hell. This ought to reduce prices generally on just about everything. Even housing prices should go down, as the median worker will be making less money. Governments will probably try to counteract the ensuing deflation with massive stimulus programs. Optimistically, this could culminate in new UBI programs. A happy outcome is not by any means guaranteed, but seems likely in the long term.