[flask_manager]

The idea that a crash would benefit talented people more than the bulshitters is not really all that likely in my opinion... More likely that the chosen few get put on life support through government contracts or entrenched work, and innovation scales back in total.

I almost expect a higher degree of bullshit to be honest; the cost of a startup will be higher, so the "honest" capitalistic speculation will be reduced, but there will still be plenty of money for DEI and CCP projects.

[jongjong]

I can see how that might be true in terms of jobs but I suspect a crash might still open up opportunities on the business side as a bootstrapped entrepreneur.

The problem I've been having is that it's been difficult to find anyone to try my SaaS product because it appeared as though everyone was hooked to easy money in their big corporate jobs and nobody wanted to lift a finger to try anything even slightly risky. I couldn't even find non-tech marketing people to join my startup. I couldn't find other startups willing to do any partnership.

After tech layoffs, I noticed an improvement already; now people are responding to my messages, I'm seeing more small startups in my area and they're open to discussions about partnerships. Very big shift already. I think if big tech collapsed, people would just snap out of their trance and be forced to find more creative ways to earn money which involve some risk.

The problem we have now is that big corporations have made it possible for many people to earn good money while taking on very little risk. Such environment makes everyone extremely risk averse. They don't even want to take the risk of rubbing their employer the wrong way by doing something on the side.

[flask_manager]

Im guessing my experience is very different; I work more in robotics than pure software, and this is an industry where many of the problems are investment intensive...

I wouldn't call it a crash in this field, but there is definitely a trend away from ambitious attempts. Its not really a field where you can take your savings at make a go for a year or two, capital is required, and capital is more hesitant at the moment.

I am curious about your product, to me SaaS startups aiming to replace an existing always had the problem where the risk to your client was immense compared to the value you offer. For example even if your service is a hundredth the cost of the entrenched it might not be worth it, because its a saving on a small line item against what could be the entire turnover of a business.