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by groovimus
867 days ago
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So my question would be, if the paper is logically sound then we are looking at a mechanism where the energy boost from increasing ocean temperatures is only applicable to the storms of cat 5. Why? Because we have data that show the yearly frequency of named tropical cyclones. The chart of these fequencies from 1980~2022 which I link below, indicates no discernable trend. This means that the postulated increase in storm intensity is somehow not promoting otherwise 'would-be' tropical storms into the cyclone categories. Consider the energy distribution over the 5 categories. So this leaves us with, if the logic of the paper is verified, a situation where only the kurtosis of that distribution is affected by ocean temperature -- and not any other statistial parameters. So this should be a future topic for study, why only the higher energy storms are enhanced and not the lower energy ones. In other words why is the kurtosis of this distribution enhanced by increasing ocean temperature? link: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1269915/number-named-sto... |
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