Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by t_mann 888 days ago
A fun exercise would be to look up economists' predictions about AI and the future of work from the past decade and compare with the status quo. I'd be surprised if many (any?) papers (prior to the release of DALL-E and GPT-3 open beta) had programming and graphic arts high up on the list of vocations facing imminent significant automation.

More generally, I find it hard to trust such studies if they don't attempt at least some sort of backtest of their methodology, which this one does not appear to do.

1 comments

I can recall back then what was being predicted, the consensus was that content creators such as musicians , animators, writers and the like we're going to have the most success.

I think their predictions were pretty good but unfortunately times are changing once again and all good things…