[joshspankit]

Yes, but...

There are unknown issues down that road. Given 1000 years AI could probably replace all work, but I think we’re all on the same page of “could AI replace 95% of work within a timespan that’s meaningful to people alive today?”, and in that term the realization of an AI-powered machine doing all manual labour (even an AGI one) still has a too many unknowns for a meaningful answer.

We were “going to have flying cars in X” for a long time, but it turned out that building a flying car was not actually the problem that needed to be solved in order to make them viable.

[ChatGTP]

It is also not necessarily what people want.

I do think social mobility from being able to work is something people want. I think AI researchers want to feel important and like they have purpose. As they start to realize that will all vanish once they invent AGI, it will be interesting to see how they proceed.

I think human augmentation is far more attractive and will be a more popular field of endevour, if we workout how to get better at it.