[mastersummoner]

Yes, but that's today. When the moon landing initially happened, nobody had ever been to another celestial body before, whereas now we have lots more experience visiting them and sampling their atmospheres and surfaces.

Nobody's ever created AI before, so we're in a similar situation in that nobody has firsthand experience of what to expect.

[wavemode]

The specific part of the analogy that breaks down is that nobody actually knows if, when, nor how we will ever create AGI. So all safety efforts are necessarily speculative (because the field itself is speculative).

Like, if the scientists working on the moon landing didn't even know yet what the moon was made of, nor whether they would be getting to the moon by slingshot, by elevator, by rocket, by wormhole, or by some other yet unknown means, it would be very hard to make any meaningful proposal for how we would stay safe once we did get there.

[andrewflnr]

Oh definitely, that part of the analogy works fine.