[idopmstuff]

I think the other thing people miss is the impact of our existing infrastructure on the speed at which these new technologies can be deployed.

Society had a lot of time to get used to the printing press, the advances of the Industrial Revolution and the internet. This is because the knowledge had to spread, and it's also because a ton of equipment had to be manufactured and/or shipped all over the world. We had to make printing presses, design and build factories, and get a critical mass of people internet-capable computers.

AI is fundamentally different, in that the knowledge of AI can spread instantly because of the internet and because the vast majority of the world already has access to all of the hardware they need to access the most powerful AI models.

Soon we'll have humanoid robots coming, and while they obviously have to be built, we are much more capable now than we were 50 years ago at building giant factories. We also have an efficient system of capital allocation that means that as soon as someone demonstrates a generally useful humanoid robot and only needs to scale production, they'll have access to basically infinite investor money.