[nirav72]

From a political and strategic standpoint - It makes no sense for China to attempt an invasion of Taiwan in 2024. If anything, they're better off waiting to see who wins the U.S presidential election in November. Because huge policy difference on involvement there between Biden and Trump.

Edit: One caveat being how badly China's economy does in the first half of 2024.

[idontwantthis]

Which President are you saying is less likely to fight China? The one that started the trade war or the one that publicly announced the US would defend Taiwan and has been actively changing defensive posture to the Pacific and developing new weapons and capabilities aimed at that theater?

I don’t see a big policy difference between the two and I definitely don’t see how Biden has been weak (gp). It would be easy for Trump to sell a war with China to his voters.