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by sramam 899 days ago
I wonder if the 5-6% is an accurate estimate.

Some back-of-the-envelope math:

- K-12 enrollment in 2021 was 49.4MM [1]

- Assuming even distribution across 13 grades, that's 3.8MM / academic year.

- 1MM ~= 25%, though if one factors in that drop-outs increase as years advance, this is conservative.

[1] https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=372#PK12-enroll...

[edit] formatting