[blameitonme]

I think threads still has a lot of time for it to grow, as meta with its deep pockets can afford to keep it running. Also there is some hate around Elon's acquisition of twitter, and whatever elon is doing (remaining to X). It makes a strong case that threads can at least keep growing, even after the hype drop after launch.

[bakugo]

No, it's dead. It has completely vanished from public conscience, I literally forgot it existed for weeks until I saw this post. People don't even bother linking to it as an alternate platform on Twitter anymore, even bsky is way more popular in that regard.

People claiming it would be a huge success and would replace Twitter when it launched were already clearly a bit out of touch, anyone claiming it still has a chance to grow now is straight up delusional.

[threeseed]

Since you're claiming to have insight into the actions of the general public I assume you have some numbers to back it up ?

Because Zuckerberg said 2 months ago it had 100m MAU which is very much the opposite of dead.

[bakugo]

If "it has high MAU" is your only metric for whether or not a social platform is doing well, then Facebook is also still extremely successful and not struggling at all. But in reality we all know this isn't true, they likely wouldn't even have made Threads if it was.

[threeseed]

Maybe don't move the goalpost.

Do you have some numbers to back up your claims ?

And Facebook is still extremely successful at least from a revenue perspective.

[Yhippa]

I have no data. All I know is personally, nobody I know uses it, nobody sends me links on it, and when I last visited it was all highly curated corporate or celebrity accounts. No thanks.

[rainonmoon]

So this from the company that grossly inflated its viewership numbers to build false credibility for its video offering? You've gotta be kidding.

[the_mitsuhiko]

I’m not sure if this is true. I use Instagram a lot and the app keeps reminding me that it’s a thing. Whenever I open it I see a lot of content being posted. It does not feel dead.

[bakugo]

What's your definition of "a lot of content"? I just logged into it and literally half of my feed was selfies of provocatively dressed women, and the other half was really generic and unfunny memes that I'd expect to see old people posting on facebook (I literally saw the "what color is this dress" image, I am not joking), and almost none of the text was in english. I didn't see a single post that I could say for sure was posted by a real person that was actually using threads.

[stevebmark]

Yes, everyone hates Twitter. Threads is dead. Mastodon is terrible and has no chance. Bluesky had a chance but their development team has proven they can't ship features, so it will die soon. There is currently no Twitter replacement contender.

[theultdev]

Speak for yourself, not everyone.

I actually like X, it's much more enjoyable than Twitter used to be.

Spaces are seamless, it's cool to drop into a random conversation with hundreds of thousands of listeners.

Community notes actually gives great context without parading as a de-facto fact checker ran by a couple of companies with their own biases.

[anileated]

Twitter’s “community notes” is one of two things: 1) if it is 100% community based, then exactly the same as most upvoted tweet reply; 2) if it is moderated additionally, then exactly the same as fact checker run by a company with its own bias.

Which one is it?

[theultdev]

it's neither of those which leads to your own lack of knowledge of the system.

you can see the source code of the algorithm here: https://github.com/twitter/communitynotes

there's a number of factors that goes into the rankings, like taking into account which other community note users rated it helpful and how they rated previous notes.

also simple usage of community notes would have revealed it was at least more sophisticated than the prison of two ideas you presented.

[anileated]

> the prison of two ideas you presented.

No need to be so dramatic. Looks like it’s in fact 100% community based, just the community is separate (the ‘community notes community’). The higher barrier to entry, compared to Twitter’s mainstream audience, is its saving grace (at least for now, as more time passes this seems susceptible to good old astroturphing, gaming, and eventually good faith contributors rage-quitting).

[mariusor]

Such a high degree of certainty but without any actual argument is usually a certain sign of someone afflicted with Dunning-Krueger. Can you tell us anything about why you're so sure of all these things?