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by rich_sasha 895 days ago
A lot of Brexit politics was about immigration: how EU rules mean you cannot bar any European from entering and reading, except in extreme circumstances. And indeed, UK is much more international than many European peers.

But what happened post-Brexit is that (legal) immigration numbers are at all time high. There is a high fraction of low skilled immigrants from outside EU, often with questionable English and, well, looking different - which matters to some people. My point isn't to disparage hard working people, but that it's very visible.

So that's a major Brexit pledge gone completely awry. I don't think there is anything Brexit-related that made migration control objectively harder, only that the control failed. Although what also happened, not unrelated, is that high-skilled immigrants from EU largely left, because post-Brexit UK is not very attractive to Europeans. This is very perceptible especially in health care, where shortages of doctors and nurses are now quite scary.

And the immigration is so high in then because UK has always had labour shortages, patched by foreigners. It's only the country of origin that changed.

4 comments

So basically Polish workers stopped coming because it was harder thanks to Brexit, and had to be replaced by less-white people?
Kinda. Also Spanish nurses and doctors left, too.

And immigration, of people of any colour, is at all time high.

Except from the EU.
But if the immigration is legal then the control isn't failing at all, is it?

The few brexitters I talked with shared the same stance, that it was not acceptable for the EU to dictate immigration to the UK. It was not a matter of the influx itself, but about having that control. sovereignty was a big thing.

Well, yes, people wanted control, but also to hear the foreigners are kept out. Not, good news, on our own volition, we decided to let in more people than ever.
Seems like a plausible explanation. Thanks for explaining it.
There are no labour shortages that justify 750k immigrants in a single year.

The government is using immigration to prop up the (overall) economy while keeping wages down.

> There are no labour shortages that justify 750k immigrants in a single year.

Actually, yes. There was a very severe reduction in labour market participation due to the pandemic. The reasons for this are complex, varied and in many ways the fault of the government, but the upshot is that we lost ~700,000 employees from the labour market over the course of 2021/22. Job vacancies have declined sharply since mid-2022, but we still have about 150,000 more vacancies than we did pre-pandemic.

https://obr.uk/box/the-impact-of-the-pandemic-on-labour-mark...

https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwor...

Sorry, but no-one reasonable can believe that this is an accurate representation of the situation.

This just shows the state of the economy where, on the one hand the government is happy to use weak health reasons not to officially count people as unemployed [1], and thus to claim low unemployment while, on the other hand, importing more people, which only keeps productivity and wages down, and keeps the housing market hot.

This also allows the government to claim that the economy is strong when, in fact GDP per capita is going down.

The UK has a big issue with immigration in that it overly depends on it instead of fixing its domestic issues.

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/dec/24/500000-under...

So that's where Justin Trudeau got the idea