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by drxzcl 895 days ago
If you plug in the numbers into a sample size calculator you will find that a sample size of 2000 enables you to get an estimate within 5% of the true value 99.999% of the time for an infinite population.

So, not exactly small, no.

https://www.calculator.net/sample-size-calculator.html

3 comments

As long as you have a decent sample set, which the reputable polling companies do.
And as long as the thing you are polling is about 50:50. It’s hard to poll more skewed things, and you need larger sample sizes.
As long as the sample is representative, of course.

2000 does seem small enough that it would be hard to ensure no bias creeps in.

If only there were a whole field of study dedicated to this, and you could hire experts to run studies for you…
It doesn’t say where the sample was taken. London? Yorkshire? It almost certainly wasn’t taken at random.