[Dylan16807]

> He's not saying they're stupid. He's saying they're irrational. And he's right. Humans aren't rational beings and our expectations differ from simple mathematical probabilities.

He's right in that players are biased when it comes to rare player success versus rare player failure. He's not right that it's irrational to have different expectations from the "simple mathematical probabilities".

The simple math works when each side is trying to hit a single target that only needs to be hit once. It does not work for medium or large fights.