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by minkiebun 907 days ago
FRED does a nice job of cataloguing prices of the most basic ingredients. The history on them makes clear that a lot of these stories round off to noise; people noticing things going up and not noticing when they stay flat or decline.

Take for example eggs: they’re up about 20% over the last two years… but they’re down from 15 years ago, because eggs have (mostly) stayed really cheap for a long time.

And that’s not down in inflation adjusted dollars, it’s just down.

2 comments

Yep. You need to go back to ~1996 to get to a 2x increase in cost of food at home:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1d3aL

Though as a general rule people notice acceleration not speed, so the big pandemic bump is clearly more impactful than a slower increase.

Is there a stat that tracks discount sale prices? I typically craft my purchases around what is discounted, but those “seem” dramatically worse than the general price increases.
Eggs around here were as low as 29 cents (during an egg price war, to be fair, but normal prices were well below a buck) and during whatever egg crisis there was recently peaked at nearly $4 a dozen. Both were the same "cheapest eggs in the store" though the local farm-raised eggs had a much smaller increase (maybe from $4.29 to $4.79).

Since then the cheapest eggs have come back down somewhat.

The problem is statistics count averages or price on a certain day, etc, people remember the _highest_ price they paid recently.